The time it seems now is ripe for all leaders of all political parties for doing calculation, how much a party will win after 2014 elections. But one must be wise and able to absorb all that is expressed by politically conscious voters for miscalculation will mean falling self in to the zone of no reckoning. Psephologists are readily available for extending helps to the leaders for doing calculation of numerical strength a party will garner. It is gambling time. One thing is certain 2014 Lok Sabha elections will see mixture of parties coming together for formation of Government at the centre. Congress party despite framing various policies for the poor and helpless people is not likely to cross the magic figure of 272 on their own. It will require the support of other likeminded parties. Which party will happily extend support to the Congress party in the event of formation of Government at the centre? There is no question of Trinamol Congress and AIADMK giving support to Congress party. The other parties barring Shiv Sena, Akali Dal can be approached. If Congress alone wins not less than 200 it need not move with begging bowl for getting support. All of them will come rushing for extending support. Narendra Modi factor is counted as a morale booster for BJP. Modis’ personal psephologist has predicted the victory of BJP in UP alone in 45 seats much ahead of ruling Samajwadi party and BSP if Modi would be declared as prime ministerial candidate of BJP. With Modi at the helms of affairs the party is expected to win 180 seats across the country. If BJP wins 180 seats formation of Government at the centre will be easy with the support of allies. But Arun Shourie put BJP’s victory figure at 230 under the leadership of Narendra Modi. More leaders, who have already faded from the political limelight in the past one or two decades, will be coming out to do the forecast. There is reason behind that. If their calculations get closer to the reality who knows they may be reckoned by the leaders of the political parties and they may remain in the good book of the leaders. However it is a difficult task. One should be able to feel the pulse of voters. Making calculation without weighing the mood of the voters will be like diving into the one feet deep pond from 15 feet high diving board. You will end up with the head smashed. Be cautious and avoid doing calculations for if it goes awry politicians concerned may end up getting more enemies.
Read more / Original news source: http://manipur-mail.com/political-calculation/
